|Clinton Lake Ultra elevation profile|
It would be easy enough if I was trained for an ultra. My longest run over the last 6 months has been 13 miles. I'm healthy and injury-free, but not ready for 30 miles. Not even 20 miles. A fast 10 miles would be a great tempo effort. My goal race for this spring is the Illinois half-marathon on April 27. I'm on target for the half-marathon in 5 weeks. Not on target for an ultra in 1 day!
So, what is my predicted finish time? Or, if a DNF, how far will I get before dropping out? I see three scenarios playing out this weekend:
- I slowly make my way around that darn lake three full times and finish the ultra. It would be my 105th ultra/marathon finish. If this happens, it would be a long day. Run, jog, hike. Lots of walking and talking to fellow back-of-the-pack runners.
- I do two loops and get in a nice long run of 20 miles. See friends at aid stations, chat with fellow runners, and complete my longest run in more than a year. Yikes. About time I get in a real long run.
- I run one loop, 10 miles, but do it fast. Perfect tempo-style run in preparation for the half-marathon in late April. Develop a little speed and also endurance. I'm certainly capable of 10 miles. Maybe I could hang with the leaders for one loop? Or the "almost" leaders?