- Last year (2022) race finish time: 22:20
- Time trial 2 weeks ago: 23:14
- Coros watch prediction: 22:51
- Runalyze prediction: 24:35
- Stryd prediction: 22:45
In the past, Stryd seemed to have the most accurate prediction. Coros seems about the same as Stryd. I think Runalyze is too conservative. I ran the same course in 23:14 recently so I should beat that time. I think 22:30 is possible. Maybe I can match last year's 22:20? I was disappointed with last year's finish--thought I could break 22:00. My plan is to run by Stryd power (not pace or HR) and keep the effort steady from start to finish. The course has several hills so I need to be disciplined and keep the EFFORT steady. Stryd suggests 310W as my goal. OK, I'll set my watch for a small range around 310 watts. Won't worry about pace. Hope we have good weather (looks to be warm and humid).
Race update: Finished in 22:28 so I beat all the predictions. It was a warm and humid day. Looking forward to cooler fall weather and faster race times!
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